MIT Department of Economics working paper 503, 1988, https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/63586/endofonebigdefla00temi.pdf; Thomas Sargent, Stopping Moderate Inflations: The Methods of Poincare and Thatcher, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, working paper W, May 1981, JSTOR, www.jstor.org/stable/10.2307/community.28111603; Laurence Ball, The Genesis of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation,
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 23, no. 3, Part 2: Price Stability (August 1991): 439–452.
17. Laurence Ball, What Determines the Sacrifice Ratio? in Monetary Policy, ed. N. Gregory Mankiw, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994, 155–194.
18. Martin Feldstein, The Dollar and the Trade Deficit in the 1980s: A Personal View, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) working paper 4325, issue date April 1993, available at NBER, www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w4325/w4325.pdf.
19. Milton Friedman and Rose Friedman, Free to Choose: A Personal Statement, New York: Avon, 1979.
20. Bill Clinton, Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the State of the Union, January 23, 1996, American Presidency Project, University of California, Santa Barbara, www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-before-joint-session-the-congress-the-state-the-union-10.
21. Barack Obama, Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the State of the Union, January 27, 2010, American Presidency Project, University of California, Santa Barbara, www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-before-joint-session-the-congress-the-state-the-union-17.
22. Martin Carcasson, Ending Welfare as We Know It: President Clin-ton and the Rhetorical Transformation of the Anti-Welfare Culture, Rhetoric and Public Affairs 9, no. 4 (Winter 2006): 655–692.
23. Alwyn W. Turner, A Classless Society: Britain in the 1990s, London: Aurum Press, 2013.
24. J. Bradford DeLong, Private Accounts: Add-on, Not Carve-Out, Grasping Reality, May 3, 2005, https://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2005/05/private_account.html.
25. Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez, Income Inequality in the United States, 1913–1998, Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 1 (February 2003): 1–39, https://eml.berkeley.edu/~saez/pikettyqje.pdf.
26. Takashi Negishi, Welfare Economics and Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy, Metroeconomica 12, no. 92–97.
27. Jeremiah 7:18.
28. Globalization over Five Centuries, World, Our World in Data, https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/globalization-over-5-centuries?country=~OWID_WRL.
29. Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2014.
30. Rosa Luxemburg, The Russian Revolution, New York: Workers' Age Publishers, 1940 [1918].
31. Yegor Gaidar, The Soviet Collapse: Grain and Oil, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, April 2007, www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/20070419_Gaidar.pdf.
Реглобализация, информационные технологии и гиперглобализация
1. Michael Kremer, Jack Willis, and Yang You, Converging to Convergence, in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2021, vol. 36, ed. Martin S. Eichenbaum and Erik Hurst, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2021, available at National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org/books-and-chapters/nber-macroeconomics-annual-2021-volume-36/converging-convergence.
2. Alan S. Blinder and Janet Louise Yellen, The Fabulous Decade: Macro-economic Lessons from the 1990s, New York: Century Foundation, 2001; Dale W. Jorgenson, Mun S. Ho, and Kevin J. Stiroh, A Retrospective Look at the U.S. Productivity Growth Resurgence, Journal of Economic Perspectives 22, no. 1 (Winter 2008): 3–24, available at American Economic Association, https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.22.1.3.
3. Marc Levinson, The Box: How the Shipping Container Made the World Smaller and the World Economy Bigger, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2008.
4. David S. Landes, The Unbound Prometheus: Technological Change and Industrial Development in Western Europe from 1750 to the Present, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1969; Robert S. Gordon, The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living Since the Civil War, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2016.
5. Elhanan Helpman, General Purpose Technologies and Economic Growth, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.
6. Paul E. Ceruzzi, Computing: A Concise History, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2012.
7. Gordon Moore, Cramming More Components onto Integrated Circuits, Electronics 38, no. 8 (April 1965), available at Intel, https://newsroom.intel.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2018/05/moores-law-electronics.pdf.
8. EUV Lithography Systems: TwinScan NXE:3400, ASML, www.asml.com/en/products/euv-lithography-systems/twinscan-nxe3400c.
9. Richard Baldwin, The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2016.
10. Dani Rodrik, Has Globalization Gone Too Far?, Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 1997; David Autor, Work of the Past, Work of the Future, American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings 109 (2019): 1–32; J. Bradford DeLong, NAFTA and Other Trade Deals Have Not Gutted American Manufacturing – Period, Vox, January 24, 2017, www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2017/1/24/14363148/trade-deals-nafta-wto-china-job-loss-trump.
Великая рецессия и анемичное восстановление
1. John Fernald, Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) working paper 20248, issue date June 2014, available at NBER, www.nber.org/papers/w20248.
2. James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, Has the Business Cycle Changed, and Why? NBER Macroeconomics Annual 17 (2002): 159–230, available at National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org/system/files/chapters/c11075/c11075.pdf.
3. Amanda Robb, Anatomy of a Fake News Scandal, Rolling Stone, November 16, 2017, www.rollingstone.com/feature/anatomy-of-a-fake-news-scandal-125877.
4. Barack Obama, 2004 Democratic National Convention Speech, PBS NewsHour, July 27, 2004, www.pbs.org/newshour/show/barack-obamas-keynote-address-at-the-2004-democratic-national-convention.
5. J. Bradford DeLong, This Time, It Is Not Different: The Persistent Concerns of Financial Macroeconomics, in Rethinking the Financial Crisis, ed. Alan Blinder, Andrew Lo, and Robert Solow, New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2012.
6. Warren Buffett, Berkshire-Hathaway chairman's letter, February 28, 2002, Berkshire-Hathaway, www.berkshirehathaway.com/2001ar/2001letter.html.
7. Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence Summers, Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) working paper 1950, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1 (1986): 15–78, available at NBER, www.nber.org/papers/w1950.
8. Примерный консенсус представлен: Ben Bernanke, Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis? Princeton University, December 1999, www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/bernanke_paralysis.pdf; Kenneth Rogoff, Comment on Krugman, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2 (1998): 194–199, www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/1998/06/1998b_bpea_krugman_dominquez_rogoff.pdf.
9. Raghuram Rajan, Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier? in The Greenspan Era: Lesson for the Future, Kansas City: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2005, 313–369, www.kansascityfed.org/documents/3326/PDF-Rajan2005.pdf. Самой известной «Кассандрой» был Пол Кругман. См. его эссе It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 199, no. 2 (1998): 137–187; и его книгу The Return of Depression Economics, New York: Norton, 1999.
10. What Should Economists and Policymakers Learn from the Financial Crisis? London School of Economics, March 25, 2013, www.lse.ac.uk/lse-player?id=1856.
11. What Should Economists and Policymakers Learn…?
12. Carol Loomis, Robert Rubin on the Job He Never Wanted, Fortune, November 26, 2007, available at Boston University Economics Department, www.bu.edu/econ/files/2011/01/Loomis.pdf.
13. См. например, Chris Giles, Harvard President Warns on Global Imbalances, Financial Times, January 28, 2006, www.ft.com/content/f925a9e0-9035-11da-9e7e-0000779e2340; Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, The Unsustainable U. S. Current Account Position Revisited, in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, ed. Richard Clarida, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2007, 339–375, available at National Bureau of Economic Research, www.nber.org/system/files/chapters/c0127/c0127.pdf.
14. Выступление
